Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 18:30 •
Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.51)
1.38 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.7% | 25.9% | 38.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Crotone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Casarano | 0 | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Casarano | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 60% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Casarano | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 56% | 28% | 42% | 61% | 33% | 47% |
| Draws | 28% | 17% | 22% | 6% | 33% | 19% |
| Loses | 17% | 56% | 36% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
CasaranoDLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLDLWLLLDDWLWLWDLWDWWW
CrotoneLWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWWDLWDWWLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Casarano | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 24 | 51 | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 39 | 55 | 11 | 23 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Casarano | Crotone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 75% | 72% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 42% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 22% | 25% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Casarano | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Casarano | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Casarano | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Casarano | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away2.31 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Casarano
vs
Crotone
Expected goals
1.29
Casarano xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.68
1.38
Crotone xG
League Avg: 1.04
1x2 probabilities
Home
34.7%
Draw
25.9%
Away
38.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
Tip
0 - 1
9.5%
Tip
1 - 0
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 1.29 (league 1.51), Crotone = 1.38 (league 1.04)
| Crotone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Casarano | 0 | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 38.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1