Second League
— Egypt
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Telecom Egypt Club Stadium
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 0.96)
0.82 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.3% | 36.1% | 34.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Abu Qair Semad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Itesalat | 0 | 21.4% | 17.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Abu Qair Semad carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 39 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Itesalat -5.0, Abu Qair Semad +8.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Itesalat
vs
Abu Qair Semad
Elo gapAbu Qair Semad +39
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo3064.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3064.9
Elo home share
44%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1495.7 | 1569.2 |
| Form Elo | 1496 | 1573.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1452.3 | 1525.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1428.3 | 1488.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1512.6 | 1611 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.0 | +8.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Itesalat last-5 Elo change: -5.0; Abu Qair Semad last-5 Elo change: +8.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 73% | 55% |
| Defense | 18% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 37% | 47% | 40% | 43% |
| Draws | 20% | 53% | 37% | 33% | 40% | 37% |
| Loses | 40% | 13% | 27% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
ItesalatDLDDDWWDWWDDDWLWLLWWWLLLWDWDLD
Abu Qair SemadWDWWWDDWWLWWLLLDWDWDWLDDLDWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 19 | 29 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 63% | 73% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 23% | 27% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 3% | 13% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Itesalat | Abu Qair Semad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 37.2% | 62.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Itesalat
vs
Abu Qair Semad
Expected goals
0.73
Itesalat xG
League Avg: 0.96
Total
1.54
0.82
Abu Qair Semad xG
League Avg: 0.94
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.3%
Draw
36.1%
Away
34.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
21.4%
Tip
0 - 1
17.5%
Tip
1 - 0
15.5%
More chances
1.5+
52%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
57%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Itesalat = 0.73 (league 0.96), Abu Qair Semad = 0.82 (league 0.94)
| Abu Qair Semad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Itesalat | 0 | 21.4% | 17.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 34.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1