Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion Å vajcarija
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.27)
0.45 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.4% | 42.6% | 21.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sloboda Uzice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Zlatibor | 0 | 31.7% | 14.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
FK Zlatibor carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 88 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FK Zlatibor -2.0, Sloboda Uzice +21.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
FK Zlatibor
vs
Sloboda Uzice
Elo gapFK Zlatibor +88
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3042
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3042
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1547.4 | 1494.6 |
| Form Elo | 1561.4 | 1509.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1524.3 | 1495 |
| Attack Elo | 1476.7 | 1420.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1605.1 | 1588.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.0 | +21.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. FK Zlatibor last-5 Elo change: -2.0; Sloboda Uzice last-5 Elo change: +21.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 20% | 40% |
| Defense | 90% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 45% | 18% | 25% | 22% |
| Draws | 30% | 30% | 30% | 64% | 33% | 48% |
| Loses | 20% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 42% | 30% |
FK ZlatiborDLLWWLWWLWWWDLWDWDDD
Sloboda UziceWDLDWDLLLWDLLDWLDWDDDDD
League goals
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 55% | 57% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 25% | 17% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 10% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FK Zlatibor | Sloboda Uzice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FK Zlatibor
vs
Sloboda Uzice
Expected goals
0.69
FK Zlatibor xG
League Avg: 1.27
Total
1.15
0.45
Sloboda Uzice xG
League Avg: 0.92
1x2 probabilities
Home
36.4%
Draw
42.6%
Away
21.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
31.7%
Tip
1 - 0
22.0%
Tip
0 - 1
14.4%
More chances
1.5+
49%
Chance
2.5+
35%
Chance
3.5+
25%
Chance
BTTS
55%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FK Zlatibor = 0.69 (league 1.27), Sloboda Uzice = 0.45 (league 0.92)
| Sloboda Uzice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Zlatibor | 0 | 31.7% | 14.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 42.6% · Away win 21.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1