Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 16:30 •
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.28)
1.30 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4% | 28.6% | 47.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Keshla FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumqayıt | 0 | 12.0% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 14% | 14% |
| Defense | 64% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 36% | 33% | 35% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Draws | 18% | 25% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 39% |
| Loses | 45% | 42% | 43% | 42% | 27% | 35% |
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Keshla FCDLDWLDWLDLWDLWWLLWLDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 12 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 18 | 8 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 74% | 70% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 39% | 22% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 22% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Keshla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.27 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.23 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sumqayıt
vs
Keshla FC
Expected goals
0.82
Sumqayıt xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.12
1.30
Keshla FC xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
23.4%
Draw
28.6%
Away
47.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
15.6%
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
0 - 0
12.0%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 0.82 (league 1.28), Keshla FC = 1.30 (league 1.18)
| Keshla FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumqayıt | 0 | 12.0% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 47.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1