Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 11:00 • Quba OIK stadionu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.24) 1.98 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 18.5% 72.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 2
17.5%
0 - 3
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sabah FA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 8.9% 17.7% 17.5% 11.6% 5.7% 2.3%
1 3.9% 7.7% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
2 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMil-MuğanSabah FA
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack0%94%
Defense94%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 016 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mil-Muğan Sabah FA
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins9%33%22%75%73%74%
Draws64%25%43%17%27%22%
Loses27%42%35%8%0%4%

Form: Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDWLLWLLDDDLDLDDD • Sabah FA: WLDWDWWDWWDWWWWWWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Mil-Muğan Sabah FA
HATHAT
GF total71219272552
GF avg0.61.00.82.32.32.3
GA total11112261016
GA avg1.00.91.00.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMil-MuğanSabah FA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%87%57%
1.526%30%70%9%
2.513%9%43%4%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMil-MuğanSabah FA
HATHAT
Clean sheets46106410
Failed to score6713213

Penalties

MetricMil-MuğanSabah FA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricMil-MuğanSabah FA
Wins310
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-37-10-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-1
Goals For2373
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricMil-MuğanSabah FA
Form24%76%
Att0%100%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Winner : Sabah FA

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away1.45 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mil-Muğan = 0.43 (league 1.24), Sabah FA = 1.98 (league 1.16)

Sabah FA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 8.9% 17.7% 17.5% 11.6% 5.7% 2.3%
1 3.9% 7.7% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
2 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 72.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1