Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 11:00 •
Quba OIK stadionu
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.28)
1.96 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | 18.6% | 72.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 2
17.8%
0 - 3
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sabah FA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mil-Muğan | 0 | 9.3% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 0% | 94% |
| Defense | 94% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 9% | 33% | 22% | 75% | 73% | 74% |
| Draws | 64% | 25% | 43% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Loses | 27% | 42% | 35% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
Mil-MuğanLDWWWDLDWLLWLLDDDLDLDDD
Sabah FAWLDWDWWDWWDWWWWWWWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 52 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 57% | 87% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 30% | 70% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 9% | 43% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-3 | 7-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mil-Muğan | Sabah FA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home7.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away1.45 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Mil-Muğan
vs
Sabah FA
Expected goals
0.42
Mil-Muğan xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.38
1.96
Sabah FA xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
7.0%
Draw
18.6%
Away
72.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
18.2%
Tip
0 - 2
17.8%
Tip
0 - 3
11.6%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Mil-Muğan = 0.42 (league 1.28), Sabah FA = 1.96 (league 1.18)
| Sabah FA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mil-Muğan | 0 | 9.3% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.0% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 72.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1