Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadion Bilino Polje
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.62)
1.04 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
9.2%
1 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Jedinstvo Bihać | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Čelik | 0 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Čelik carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 109 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Čelik +2.9, Jedinstvo Bihać +6.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Čelik
vs
Jedinstvo Bihać
Elo gapČelik +109
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo3161
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3161
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1617.7 | 1543.3 |
| Form Elo | 1626.1 | 1543.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1559.6 | 1492 |
| Attack Elo | 1575 | 1459.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1601.4 | 1566.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.9 | +6.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Čelik last-5 Elo change: +2.9; Jedinstvo Bihać last-5 Elo change: +6.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 71% | 43% |
| Defense | 43% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 58% | 70% | 33% | 53% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 37% | 20% | 22% | 21% |
| Loses | 0% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 44% | 26% |
ČelikDWDDWWDWDWWWWDWWWDL
Jedinstvo BihaćWLWLLWDWDDWLWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 11 | 32 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 58% | 74% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 16% | 37% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 11% | 5% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Čelik | Jedinstvo Bihać |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Čelik
vs
Jedinstvo Bihać
Expected goals
2.42
Čelik xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
3.45
1.04
Jedinstvo Bihać xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.2%
Draw
17.6%
Away
14.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.6%
Tip
2 - 0
9.2%
Tip
1 - 1
7.9%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Čelik = 2.42 (league 1.62), Jedinstvo Bihać = 1.04 (league 1.06)
| Jedinstvo Bihać | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Čelik | 0 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 14.4%
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