Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.4% | 15.1% | 7.7% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Famos Vojkovići | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kozara Gradiška | 0 | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Home edge
Kozara Gradiška carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 83 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kozara Gradiška +18.5, Famos Vojkovići -4.5.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1507.5 | 1459.5 |
| Form Elo | 1519 | 1451.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1529.5 | 1442.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1466.8 | 1426.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1494.3 | 1426.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.5 | -4.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Kozara Gradiška last-5 Elo change: +18.5; Famos Vojkovići last-5 Elo change: -4.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 25% | 39% | 50% | 9% | 30% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
| Loses | 18% | 58% | 39% | 17% | 73% | 43% |
League goals
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 10 | 29 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 61% | 52% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 30% | 26% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 17% | 9% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kozara Gradiška | Famos Vojkovići |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Kozara Gradiška = 2.43 (league 1.71), Famos Vojkovići = 0.63 (league 0.87)
| Famos Vojkovići | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kozara Gradiška | 0 | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 7.7%
