Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 20:00 •
Estádio Do Dragão
Expected Goals
3.15 (league 1.59)
0.29 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
15.9%
4 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Malmo FF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Porto | 0 | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.6% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Porto | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 39% | 11% |
| Defense | 78% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Porto | Malmo FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
FC PortoWWLDW
Malmo FFWWLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | FC Porto | Malmo FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Porto | Malmo FF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Porto | Malmo FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Porto | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Porto | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Porto | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 83.0% | 17.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.24 @ Betano
Draw7.14 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.39 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FC Porto
vs
Malmo FF
Expected goals
3.15
FC Porto xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
3.44
0.29
Malmo FF xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
81.5%
Draw
6.9%
Away
1.7%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
16.6%
Tip
2 - 0
15.9%
Tip
4 - 0
13.1%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 3.15 (league 1.59), Malmo FF = 0.29 (league 1.19)
| Malmo FF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Porto | 0 | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.6% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.5% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 1.7%
vtt 14 , vtd1