First League
— Bulgaria
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:30 •
Stadion Lokomotiv
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.29)
1.96 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | 20.3% | 66.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 2
13.7%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| CSKA Sofia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Sofia | 0 | 7.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 20% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 30% | 18% | 24% | 64% | 36% | 50% |
| Draws | 10% | 18% | 14% | 27% | 36% | 32% |
| Loses | 60% | 64% | 62% | 9% | 27% | 18% |
Septemvri SofiaLLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLLLDLW
CSKA SofiaDDLDLDWLDDDWWWWWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 18 | 26 | 44 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 81% | 73% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 62% | 41% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 33% | 23% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 14% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 7-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 21.8% | 78.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home11.00 @ Marathonbet
Draw5.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.32 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Septemvri Sofia
vs
CSKA Sofia
Expected goals
0.68
Septemvri Sofia xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
2.64
1.96
CSKA Sofia xG
League Avg: 1.10
1x2 probabilities
Home
12.0%
Draw
20.3%
Away
66.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.0%
Tip
0 - 2
13.7%
Tip
1 - 1
9.5%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Sofia = 0.68 (league 1.29), CSKA Sofia = 1.96 (league 1.10)
| CSKA Sofia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Sofia | 0 | 7.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 66.1%
vtt 5 , vtd1