Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 16:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Parisi
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.35)
1.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 22.7% | 69.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.8%
0 - 2
18.7%
0 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| USD Casatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vogherese | 0 | 14.0% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vogherese | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 47% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 0% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vogherese | USD Casatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 13% | 0% | 7% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 53% | 43% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
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USD CasateseDLDDWWWDDWDWWWDDDLDDWLWWDDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Vogherese | USD Casatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 21 | 33 | 54 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vogherese | USD Casatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 80% | 77% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 23% | 20% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vogherese | USD Casatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vogherese | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vogherese | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vogherese | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 26.8% | 73.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home13.00 @ Bet365
Draw7.62 @ Pinnacle
Away1.38 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes4.60 @ Marathonbet
No1.36 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Vogherese
vs
USD Casatese
Expected goals
0.33
Vogherese xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
1.97
1.63
USD Casatese xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
7.1%
Draw
22.7%
Away
69.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
22.8%
Tip
0 - 2
18.7%
Tip
0 - 0
14.0%
More chances
1.5+
63%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Vogherese = 0.33 (league 1.35), USD Casatese = 1.63 (league 1.20)
| USD Casatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vogherese | 0 | 14.0% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 69.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1