Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 15:45 •
Estadio A Lomba
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.27)
0.83 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.8% | 20.7% | 14.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.8%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Celta de Vigo III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 82% | 82% |
| Defense | 27% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 63% | 40% | 50% | 30% | 38% | 33% |
| Draws | 38% | 30% | 33% | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Loses | 0% | 30% | 17% | 30% | 25% | 28% |
Form: Arosa: WDDWWLWDWDDWLWLDWW • Celta de Vigo III: LDDDDDWWWLWDLDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 15 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 16 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 72% | 78% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 39% | 39% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 6% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 2-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arosa | Celta de Vigo III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Arosa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arosa = 1.99 (league 1.27), Celta de Vigo III = 0.83 (league 1.08)
| Celta de Vigo III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 14.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1