Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 09:15 • Estadio San Jorge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.50) 0.97 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 29.4% 30.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santurtzi 0 11.2% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanturtziReal Sociedad III
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack17%28%
Defense78%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santurtzi Real Sociedad III
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins33%14%24%47%36%41%
Draws40%36%38%13%14%14%
Loses27%50%38%40%50%45%
SanturtziDWLLDDLWLDWLLWWDDWDLLDLDLDWLD
Real Sociedad IIILLWWLLWLWLWWWDWWLDLLLWLDLWLWD

League goals

Metric Santurtzi Real Sociedad III
HATHAT
GF total161127141731
GF avg1.10.80.90.91.21.1
GA total142236132235
GA avg0.91.61.20.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanturtziReal Sociedad III
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%72%66%62%
1.524%34%31%34%
2.50%14%10%17%
3.50%3%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanturtziReal Sociedad III
HATHAT
Clean sheets6287411
Failed to score3696410

Penalties

MetricSanturtziReal Sociedad III
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanturtziReal Sociedad III
Wins23
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-44-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricSanturtziReal Sociedad III
Form42%58%
Att38%63%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total41.3%58.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Santurtzi
vs
Real Sociedad III
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 • Spain • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 09:15 • Estadio San Jorge
Expected goals
1.17
Santurtzi xG League Avg: 1.50
Total
2.14
0.97
Real Sociedad III xG League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
40.2%
Draw
29.4%
Away
30.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.7%
Tip
1 - 1
13.3%
Tip
0 - 0
11.7%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
#Santurtzi #RealSociedadIii #TerceraDivisiónRfefGroup4 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Santurtzi = 1.16 (league 1.51), Real Sociedad III = 1.02 (league 1.05)

Real Sociedad III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santurtzi 0 11.2% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 31.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1