Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 14:30 • Estadio Galapagar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43) 1.07 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 28.0% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcón II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 9.7% 10.4% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGalapagarAlcorcón II
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack32%32%
Defense58%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Galapagar Alcorcón II
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins47%13%30%31%29%30%
Draws33%53%43%50%14%33%
Loses20%33%27%19%57%37%
GalapagarWDWDDLDLWDLLDLWWDLWDDWDDWDLWLD
Alcorcón IIDDLLLDLDLWWWLWWLLLLWDDLDWDWDWD

League goals

Metric Galapagar Alcorcón II
HATHAT
GF total221133171229
GF avg1.50.71.11.10.91.0
GA total231841141731
GA avg1.51.21.40.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGalapagarAlcorcón II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%77%60%77%
1.533%30%23%23%
2.57%10%10%3%
3.50%7%3%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGalapagarAlcorcón II
HATHAT
Clean sheets347527
Failed to score2795712

Penalties

MetricGalapagarAlcorcón II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGalapagarAlcorcón II
Wins23
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-84-01-32-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against8432

Model comparison

MetricGalapagarAlcorcón II
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total39.8%60.2%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Galapagar
vs
Alcorcón II
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 • Spain • Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 14:30 • Estadio Galapagar
Expected goals
1.26
Galapagar xG League Avg: 1.43
Total
2.33
1.07
Alcorcón II xG League Avg: 1.26
1x2 probabilities
Home
40.4%
Draw
28.0%
Away
31.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
1 - 0
12.2%
Tip
0 - 1
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
#Galapagar #AlcorcónIi #TerceraDivisiónRfefGroup7 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Galapagar = 1.26 (league 1.43), Alcorcón II = 1.07 (league 1.26)

Alcorcón II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 9.7% 10.4% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1