Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 10:00 • Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.40) 1.44 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 27.0% 52.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Conil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 11.0% 15.8% 11.4% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.2% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastillejaConil
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack40%60%
Defense0%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castilleja Conil
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%7%17%47%36%41%
Draws21%33%28%27%21%24%
Loses50%60%55%27%43%34%
CastillejaDDLLLWLLLLDLDDWWDWLLDLLLLLDWL
ConilLDLLWWLWWDLWDLDDLWDWWLWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Castilleja Conil
HATHAT
GF total131023241337
GF avg0.90.70.81.60.91.3
GA total223355201737
GA avg1.62.21.91.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastillejaConil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%79%72%76%
1.524%48%38%41%
2.53%21%10%7%
3.50%14%7%3%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastillejaConil
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score6814448

Penalties

MetricCastillejaConil
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCastillejaConil
Wins22
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-21-2
Biggest losses2-77-11-34-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against7734

Model comparison

MetricCastillejaConil
Form31%69%
Att40%60%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total35.0%65.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.07 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Betano
No1.83 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Castilleja
vs
Conil
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 • Spain • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 10:00 • Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Expected goals
0.77
Castilleja xG League Avg: 1.40
Total
2.21
1.44
Conil xG League Avg: 1.00
1x2 probabilities
Home
20.1%
Draw
27.0%
Away
52.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
15.8%
Tip
1 - 1
12.2%
Tip
0 - 2
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Castilleja #Conil #TerceraDivisiónRfefGroup10 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Castilleja = 0.77 (league 1.40), Conil = 1.44 (league 1.00)

Conil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 11.0% 15.8% 11.4% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 12.2% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 52.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1