Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 16:00 •
Polideportivo Municipal de Magaluf
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.56)
0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.7% | 28.7% | 26.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Formentera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Platges Calvià | 0 | 11.5% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 20% | 20% |
| Defense | 47% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Formentera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 17% | 35% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Draws | 18% | 17% | 17% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Loses | 27% | 67% | 48% | 25% | 36% | 30% |
Platges CalviàLDWDWWLWWDLLDLWLLLLWLWL
FormenteraDDDLWDDWDLLWLWLWDDLDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Formentera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 8 | 28 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 18 | 29 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Platges Calvià | Formentera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 78% | 65% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 35% | 22% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 13% | 0% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Formentera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Platges Calvià
vs
Formentera
Expected goals
1.27
Platges Calvià xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
2.17
0.90
Formentera xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
44.7%
Draw
28.7%
Away
26.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.5%
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
0 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Platges Calvià = 1.27 (league 1.56), Formentera = 0.90 (league 1.12)
| Formentera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Platges Calvià | 0 | 11.5% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 26.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1