Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:00 •
Campo de Fútbol Ángel de Vicente
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.55)
1.69 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 24.1% | 51.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Yagüe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Marcial | 0 | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Marcial | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 42% | 37% |
| Defense | 79% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Marcial | Yagüe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 31% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
| Draws | 25% | 23% | 24% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
| Loses | 50% | 46% | 48% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
San MarcialLLLWWDLWDDLLLLLWWDLLDWWLD
YagüeWLWWLWWLDDDWDDLDLWWDLDLDW
League goals
| Metric | San Marcial | Yagüe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 21 | 39 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Marcial | Yagüe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 72% | 76% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 48% | 44% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 16% | 20% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 16% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Marcial | Yagüe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Marcial | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Marcial | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-1 | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Marcial | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away2.76 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.15 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Marcial = 1.06 (league 1.55), Yagüe = 1.69 (league 1.24)
| Yagüe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Marcial | 0 | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 51.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
