Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:30 •
Sportplatz Ortmann BSV
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.77)
1.23 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.2% | 23.0% | 25.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Stockerau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ortmann | 0 | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Stockerau carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ortmann -13.3, Stockerau +37.6.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Ortmann
vs
Stockerau
Elo gapStockerau +18
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2935.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2935.3
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1441.1 | 1494.2 |
| Form Elo | 1440.8 | 1512 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1477.7 | 1506.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1477.8 | 1478.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1474.6 | 1454 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -13.3 | +37.6 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ortmann last-5 Elo change: -13.3; Stockerau last-5 Elo change: +37.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 0% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 27% | 33% | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Draws | 30% | 18% | 24% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Loses | 30% | 55% | 43% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
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StockerauLDLLLLWLDWWLLLDLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ortmann | Stockerau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 67% | 70% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 30% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 24% | 0% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 0-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ortmann | Stockerau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 50.2% | 50.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ortmann
vs
Stockerau
Expected goals
1.82
Ortmann xG
League Avg: 1.77
Total
3.05
1.23
Stockerau xG
League Avg: 1.38
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.2%
Draw
23.0%
Away
25.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.6%
Tip
2 - 1
9.7%
Tip
1 - 0
8.6%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ortmann = 1.82 (league 1.77), Stockerau = 1.23 (league 1.38)
| Stockerau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ortmann | 0 | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 25.6%
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