Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Monoflo Arena Micheldorf
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.85)
1.92 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.4% | 21.8% | 59.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.8%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grün Weiß Micheldorf | 0 | 5.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 121 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Grün Weiß Micheldorf +7.0, Vortuna Bad Leonfelden +28.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Grün Weiß Micheldorf
vs
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
Elo gapVortuna Bad Leonfelden +121
Home / draw / away27% / 18% / 55%
Expected home share33%
Combined Elo2916.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2916.7
Elo home share
33%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1380.3 | 1536.4 |
| Form Elo | 1369 | 1562.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1464.4 | 1508.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1424.2 | 1557.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1304 | 1388.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +7.0 | +28.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Grün Weiß Micheldorf last-5 Elo change: +7.0; Vortuna Bad Leonfelden last-5 Elo change: +28.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 60% |
| Attack | 17% | 83% |
| Defense | 25% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 20% | 8% | 14% | 73% | 55% | 64% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 9% | 5% |
| Loses | 40% | 92% | 68% | 27% | 36% | 32% |
Grün Weiß MicheldorfWLDLLLLLLLLLLDLWWLDLDL
Vortuna Bad LeonfeldenWLWWWLWWLWWWWLDLWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 25 | 40 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 91% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 55% | 59% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 18% | 36% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 5% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 18% | 82% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 29.8% | 70.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Grün Weiß Micheldorf
vs
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
Expected goals
0.92
Grün Weiß Micheldorf xG
League Avg: 1.85
Total
2.83
1.92
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden xG
League Avg: 1.49
1x2 probabilities
Home
17.4%
Draw
21.8%
Away
59.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
11.3%
Tip
0 - 2
10.8%
Tip
1 - 1
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Grün Weiß Micheldorf = 0.93 (league 1.82), Vortuna Bad Leonfelden = 1.93 (league 1.48)
| Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grün Weiß Micheldorf | 0 | 5.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 59.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1