Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Glonner Arena Ebbs
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.92)
1.53 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.1% | 20.5% | 26.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Oberperfuss | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ebbs | 0 | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Ebbs carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 128 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ebbs +14.5, Oberperfuss -28.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Ebbs
vs
Oberperfuss
Elo gapEbbs +128
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2933.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2933.3
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1513.2 | 1420.1 |
| Form Elo | 1535.6 | 1395.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1520.2 | 1490.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1566.8 | 1463 |
| Defense Elo | 1431.1 | 1358.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.5 | -28.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Ebbs last-5 Elo change: +14.5; Oberperfuss last-5 Elo change: -28.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 28% | 50% |
| Defense | 67% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 38% | 41% | 30% | 38% | 33% |
| Draws | 22% | 13% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 41% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
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OberperfussWWDDLLLWWLLLLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 13 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ebbs | Oberperfuss | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 71% | 72% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 47% | 39% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 29% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-8 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ebbs | Oberperfuss |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ebbs
vs
Oberperfuss
Expected goals
2.18
Ebbs xG
League Avg: 1.92
Total
3.72
1.53
Oberperfuss xG
League Avg: 1.69
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.1%
Draw
20.5%
Away
26.5%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.9%
Tip
1 - 1
8.1%
Tip
2 - 2
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
74%
Chance
3.5+
53%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ebbs = 2.18 (league 1.92), Oberperfuss = 1.53 (league 1.69)
| Oberperfuss | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ebbs | 0 | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 26.5%
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