Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 06:00 •
Suncorp Stadium
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.56)
0.55 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5% | 15.4% | 7.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Wellington Phoenix | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brisbane Roar | 0 | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 26% | 42% |
| Defense | 84% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 30% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 30% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Brisbane RoarWLDWDWWDLW
Wellington PhoenixDWDLLWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 90% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 81% | 19% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.61 @ 1xBet
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away5.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Brisbane Roar
vs
Wellington Phoenix
Expected goals
2.34
Brisbane Roar xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
2.88
0.55
Wellington Phoenix xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
74.5%
Draw
15.4%
Away
7.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
15.3%
Tip
1 - 0
13.1%
Tip
3 - 0
11.9%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Brisbane Roar = 2.34 (league 1.56), Wellington Phoenix = 0.55 (league 1.43)
| Wellington Phoenix | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brisbane Roar | 0 | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.5% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 7.0%
vtt 4 , vtd1