Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Kasarani Annex Stadium
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.00)
1.13 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.3% | 32.4% | 51.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.1%
0 - 0
19.6%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kariobangi Sharks | 0 | 19.6% | 22.1% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 13% | 40% |
| Defense | 53% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 13% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 33% | 22% | 28% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 44% | 56% | 44% | 50% |
Form: Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLDLDDLLWDLDLD • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 61% | 72% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 33% | 11% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ulinzi Stars and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Dafabet
Away2.65 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Kariobangi Sharks
vs
Ulinzi Stars
Expected goals
0.50
Kariobangi Sharks xG
League Avg: 1.00
Total
1.63
1.13
Ulinzi Stars xG
League Avg: 0.88
1x2 probabilities
Home
16.3%
Draw
32.4%
Away
51.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
22.1%
Tip
0 - 0
19.6%
Tip
0 - 2
12.5%
More chances
1.5+
52%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
57%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Kariobangi Sharks = 0.50 (league 1.00), Ulinzi Stars = 1.13 (league 0.88)
| Ulinzi Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kariobangi Sharks | 0 | 19.6% | 22.1% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 51.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1