Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 0.88)
0.67 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.5% | 43.2% | 35.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.5%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Dire Dawa Kenema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 32.5% | 21.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 44% | 22% |
| Defense | 22% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 0% | 10% | 6% | 30% | 25% | 28% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 63% | 40% | 50% | 30% | 25% | 28% |
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Dire Dawa KenemaLWWLWDLDDDWLDDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 39% | 72% | 39% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 28% | 22% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ 10Bet
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arba Minch Kenema
vs
Dire Dawa Kenema
Expected goals
0.46
Arba Minch Kenema xG
League Avg: 0.88
Total
1.12
0.67
Dire Dawa Kenema xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
21.5%
Draw
43.2%
Away
35.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
32.5%
Tip
0 - 1
21.7%
Tip
1 - 0
14.8%
More chances
1.5+
46%
Chance
2.5+
33%
Chance
3.5+
23%
Chance
BTTS
46%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arba Minch Kenema = 0.46 (league 0.88), Dire Dawa Kenema = 0.67 (league 0.97)
| Dire Dawa Kenema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 32.5% | 21.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 43.2% · Away win 35.3%
vtt 3 , vtd1