Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 20:00 •
Jose Maria Paz
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.29)
0.55 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.7% | 28.1% | 14.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| 9 de Julio Rafaela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 0 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 45% | 82% |
| Defense | 64% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 75% | 6% | 39% | 56% | 14% | 37% |
| Draws | 13% | 65% | 39% | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Loses | 13% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 50% | 30% |
Gimnasia ChivilcoyWDWDWWDWDDLDDDLDWWLWDWDWLWLLDWDWL
9 de Julio RafaelaDLWLLLLDWWDLWLWWDDWDDLDLWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 7 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 58% | 67% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 21% | 30% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 10% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away5.25 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia Chivilcoy = 1.36 (league 1.29), 9 de Julio Rafaela = 0.55 (league 0.73)
| 9 de Julio Rafaela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 0 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 14.9%
vtt 2 , vtd1
