Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 20:00 •
Armenia Stadium
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.08)
1.03 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.4% | 28.5% | 30.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sportivo Italiano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Armenio | 0 | 10.5% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 36% | 73% |
| Defense | 64% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 35% | 38% | 37% | 43% | 25% | 34% |
| Draws | 40% | 38% | 39% | 29% | 40% | 34% |
| Loses | 25% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 35% | 32% |
Deportivo ArmenioWDDWLLDWLDDDLLWDLDWLWDDWDDWDWLDWWWDWWLLDW
Sportivo ItalianoDDDDLLLDDLDLWWDLWDLWLWWDWLWLDDDDWWWLLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 18 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 59% | 61% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 5% | 10% | 2% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.16 @ Unibet
Draw2.88 @ 10Bet
Away4.05 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.05 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Armenio = 1.23 (league 1.08), Sportivo Italiano = 1.03 (league 0.87)
| Sportivo Italiano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Armenio | 0 | 10.5% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 30.8%
vtt 2 , vtd1
