Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.72)
0.74 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.6% | 25.3% | 17.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Vratimov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stonava | 0 | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Stonava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 51 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stonava +21.5, Vratimov +6.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Stonava
vs
Vratimov
Elo gapStonava +51
Home / draw / away43% / 24% / 33%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo3040.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3040.3
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1528.1 | 1512.2 |
| Form Elo | 1545.3 | 1522.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1511.1 | 1487 |
| Attack Elo | 1551.7 | 1510.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1517.7 | 1445 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +21.5 | +6.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Stonava last-5 Elo change: +21.5; Vratimov last-5 Elo change: +6.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 45% | 36% | 41% | 73% | 36% | 55% |
| Draws | 36% | 27% | 32% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Loses | 18% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 55% | 36% |
StonavaWDDLLWDLLDWWDDLWWWWLWD
VratimovWDWLDLLWLWLWWLWLWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 20 | 40 | 26 | 11 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stonava | Vratimov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 77% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | 50% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 18% | 27% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 5% | 5% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-2 | 1-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 43.4% | 56.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Stonava
vs
Vratimov
Expected goals
1.57
Stonava xG
League Avg: 1.72
Total
2.31
0.74
Vratimov xG
League Avg: 1.49
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.6%
Draw
25.3%
Away
17.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.6%
Tip
2 - 0
12.2%
Tip
1 - 1
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Stonava = 1.57 (league 1.72), Vratimov = 0.74 (league 1.49)
| Vratimov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stonava | 0 | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 17.5%
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