Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 13:00 • National Stadium Vasil Levski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.63) 0.81 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 31.5% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Strumska Slava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Simitli 0 15.1% 12.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri SimitliStrumska Slava
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack33%100%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Simitli Strumska Slava
HATHAT
Played131427141226
Wins46%21%33%79%50%65%
Draws31%21%26%7%25%15%
Loses23%57%41%14%25%19%
Septemvri SimitliWDDDDLLDLWLDWLWWLLWLWLDWLLW
Strumska SlavaWWWLDWWLWDWDWWWWWWLWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Septemvri Simitli Strumska Slava
HATHAT
GF total141428411859
GF avg1.11.01.02.91.52.3
GA total82634151934
GA avg0.61.91.31.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri SimitliStrumska Slava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%67%92%77%
1.526%33%69%42%
2.511%15%38%8%
3.54%4%15%4%
4.50%4%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri SimitliStrumska Slava
HATHAT
Clean sheets729516
Failed to score5510022

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri SimitliStrumska Slava
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri SimitliStrumska Slava
Wins26
Draws41
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-35-02-3
Biggest losses0-26-01-24-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against2624

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri SimitliStrumska Slava
Form50%50%
Att25%75%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total45.5%54.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Septemvri Simitli
vs
Strumska Slava
Third League - Southwest • Bulgaria • Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 13:00 • National Stadium Vasil Levski
Expected goals
1.08
Septemvri Simitli xG League Avg: 1.63
Total
1.89
0.81
Strumska Slava xG League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.3%
Draw
31.5%
Away
27.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.3%
Tip
0 - 0
15.1%
Tip
1 - 1
13.2%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#SeptemvriSimitli #StrumskaSlava #ThirdLeagueSouthwest #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Simitli = 1.08 (league 1.63), Strumska Slava = 0.81 (league 1.11)

Strumska Slava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Simitli 0 15.1% 12.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 27.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1