Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.63)
1.08 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.8% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
9.0%
1 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Pirin Gotse Delchev | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bansko | 0 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Bansko carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bansko +29.5, Pirin Gotse Delchev +25.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Bansko
vs
Pirin Gotse Delchev
Elo gapBansko +66
Home / draw / away46% / 22% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2917.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2917.9
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1474.6 | 1443.3 |
| Form Elo | 1483.2 | 1454.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497.5 | 1431.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1453 | 1428.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1498.3 | 1384.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +29.5 | +25.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Bansko last-5 Elo change: +29.5; Pirin Gotse Delchev last-5 Elo change: +25.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 47% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 36% | 14% | 25% | 46% | 7% | 26% |
| Draws | 43% | 36% | 39% | 31% | 0% | 15% |
| Loses | 21% | 50% | 36% | 23% | 93% | 59% |
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Pirin Gotse DelchevLLLLLLWLWLWDLDLDLLDWLLWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 15 | 40 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 68% | 63% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 39% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 18% | 11% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bansko | Pirin Gotse Delchev |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 54.2% | 46.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Bansko
vs
Pirin Gotse Delchev
Expected goals
2.31
Bansko xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
3.39
1.08
Pirin Gotse Delchev xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
61.8%
Draw
18.8%
Away
16.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.7%
Tip
2 - 0
9.0%
Tip
1 - 1
8.4%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Bansko = 2.31 (league 1.63), Pirin Gotse Delchev = 1.08 (league 1.11)
| Pirin Gotse Delchev | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bansko | 0 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 16.4%
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