Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 •
SK Petrin Pilsen - grass
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.72)
0.81 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 23.4% | 17.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sokol Hostouň | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Petřín Plzeň | 0 | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Petřín Plzeň -9.7, Sokol Hostouň -18.3.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Petřín Plzeň
vs
Sokol Hostouň
Elo gapSokol Hostouň +5
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo2869.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2869.9
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1415 | 1454.9 |
| Form Elo | 1400.9 | 1438.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1504.7 | 1471 |
| Attack Elo | 1487.3 | 1418.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1318 | 1507.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -9.7 | -18.3 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Petřín Plzeň last-5 Elo change: -9.7; Sokol Hostouň last-5 Elo change: -18.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 19% | 6% |
| Defense | 38% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 55% | 0% | 26% | 38% | 18% | 29% |
| Draws | 18% | 0% | 9% | 31% | 9% | 21% |
| Loses | 27% | 100% | 65% | 31% | 73% | 50% |
Petřín PlzeňLLWLDLLLDLWLWLWLLLWLWLL
Sokol HostouňWLWLLWLWLLWWLWLLDLDDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 36 | 54 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 74% | 50% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 70% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 52% | 13% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 30% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Petřín Plzeň | Sokol Hostouň |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Petřín Plzeň
vs
Sokol Hostouň
Expected goals
1.74
Petřín Plzeň xG
League Avg: 1.72
Total
2.55
0.81
Sokol Hostouň xG
League Avg: 1.38
1x2 probabilities
Home
58.6%
Draw
23.4%
Away
17.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.5%
Tip
2 - 0
11.8%
Tip
1 - 1
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Petřín Plzeň = 1.74 (league 1.72), Sokol Hostouň = 0.81 (league 1.38)
| Sokol Hostouň | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Petřín Plzeň | 0 | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 17.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1