Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 •
Fotbalovy stadion Stechovice
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.70)
1.22 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.8% | 18.6% | 18.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Rokycany | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Povltava FA | 0 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Povltava FA carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 51 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Povltava FA +15.1, Rokycany +11.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Povltava FA
vs
Rokycany
Elo gapPovltava FA +51
Home / draw / away43% / 24% / 33%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo3095
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3095
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1555.6 | 1539.4 |
| Form Elo | 1569.9 | 1544.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.3 | 1518.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1582.1 | 1438.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1532.3 | 1557.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.1 | +11.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Povltava FA last-5 Elo change: +15.1; Rokycany last-5 Elo change: +11.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 87% |
| Attack | 42% | 27% |
| Defense | 76% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 82% | 55% | 68% | 55% | 50% | 52% |
| Draws | 18% | 27% | 23% | 36% | 20% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 18% | 9% | 9% | 30% | 19% |
Povltava FAWWWWDWWDWWLWDWWLWDWWDW
RokycanyWWDLWWWDLDWLWDLDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 23 | 53 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Povltava FA | Rokycany | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 81% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 18% | 43% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 5% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Povltava FA | Rokycany |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Povltava FA
vs
Rokycany
Expected goals
2.38
Povltava FA xG
League Avg: 1.70
Total
3.60
1.22
Rokycany xG
League Avg: 1.45
1x2 probabilities
Home
59.8%
Draw
18.6%
Away
18.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
Tip
1 - 1
7.9%
Tip
2 - 0
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Povltava FA = 2.38 (league 1.70), Rokycany = 1.22 (league 1.45)
| Rokycany | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Povltava FA | 0 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 18.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1