Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 •
Stadium Banik Sokolov
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.70)
1.06 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Louny | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baník Sokolov | 0 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Baník Sokolov carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 105 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Baník Sokolov +1.1, Louny -5.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Baník Sokolov
vs
Louny
Elo gapBaník Sokolov +105
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2906.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2906.4
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1488.1 | 1418.3 |
| Form Elo | 1494.9 | 1401.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1493.2 | 1487.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1505.6 | 1401.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1532.4 | 1349 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.1 | -5.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Baník Sokolov last-5 Elo change: +1.1; Louny last-5 Elo change: -5.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 44% |
| Defense | 83% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 55% | 36% | 45% | 9% | 36% | 23% |
| Draws | 9% | 9% | 9% | 36% | 9% | 23% |
| Loses | 36% | 55% | 45% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
Baník SokolovLLWLLLWLLLWWDWWLDWLWWW
LounyDWLLDLWWDLLDLLLLLLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 15 | 40 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 32 | 24 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baník Sokolov | Louny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 82% | 73% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 36% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 14% | 5% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 5% | 0% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-5 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baník Sokolov | Louny |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Baník Sokolov
vs
Louny
Expected goals
2.97
Baník Sokolov xG
League Avg: 1.70
Total
4.03
1.06
Louny xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
67.8%
Draw
13.7%
Away
10.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.3%
Tip
3 - 1
8.2%
Tip
2 - 0
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
69%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Baník Sokolov = 2.97 (league 1.70), Louny = 1.06 (league 1.35)
| Louny | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baník Sokolov | 0 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.8% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 10.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1