Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.7% | 23.9% | 46.5% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Slovácko U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| České Budějovice U19 | 0 | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Home edge
České Budějovice U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 73 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: České Budějovice U19 +12.6, Slovácko U19 +22.5.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1498.7 | 1460.9 |
| Form Elo | 1492.8 | 1454.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.6 | 1470 |
| Attack Elo | 1626.1 | 1476.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1357.3 | 1467.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.6 | +22.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. České Budějovice U19 last-5 Elo change: +12.6; Slovácko U19 last-5 Elo change: +22.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 80% | 70% |
| Defense | 10% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 27% | 32% | 45% | 36% | 41% |
| Draws | 27% | 18% | 23% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| Loses | 36% | 55% | 45% | 27% | 55% | 41% |
League goals
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 23 | 46 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 91% | 82% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 64% | 41% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 27% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 14% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-5 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | České Budějovice U19 | Slovácko U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): České Budějovice U19 = 1.28 (league 2.00), Slovácko U19 = 1.69 (league 1.61)
| Slovácko U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| České Budějovice U19 | 0 | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 46.5%
