Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:00 •
BG Stadium
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.65)
0.83 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.2% | 25.8% | 20.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Chonburi FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BG Pathum United | 0 | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 79% | 50% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 36% | 50% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Draws | 18% | 36% | 27% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
| Loses | 18% | 27% | 23% | 36% | 45% | 41% |
BG Pathum UnitedDWLWLWDWLWDDWWWDLWDLWW
Chonburi FCDLDLLDDDWLWLLWDLWLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 12 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 64% | 64% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 27% | 27% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 18% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | BG Pathum United | Chonburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away5.23 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
BG Pathum United
vs
Chonburi FC
Expected goals
1.53
BG Pathum United xG
League Avg: 1.65
Total
2.36
0.83
Chonburi FC xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
53.2%
Draw
25.8%
Away
20.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.4%
Tip
1 - 1
12.0%
Tip
2 - 0
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
72%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): BG Pathum United = 1.53 (league 1.65), Chonburi FC = 0.83 (league 1.19)
| Chonburi FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BG Pathum United | 0 | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 20.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1