Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina — Argentina

Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 01:15 • Jose Amalfitani

Match Finished

Velez Sarsfield

2 - 1

Boca Juniors

Expected Goals

3.98 (league 1.01) 1.33 (league 0.75)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
61.9%	9.4%	7.4%

best score tips

3 - 1

6.9%

4 - 1

6.9%

5 - 1

5.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Boca Juniors
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Velez Sarsfield	0	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	2.0%	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	3.9%	5.2%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	5.2%	6.9%	4.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	5.2%	6.9%	4.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
	5	4.1%	5.5%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Velez Sarsfield	Boca Juniors
Played	3	3
Form	78%	67%
Attack	36%	36%
Defense	82%	82%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 1.3	4 \| 1.3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.7	2 \| 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

80%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Velez Sarsfield			Boca Juniors
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	1	2	3	2	1	3
Wins	100%	50%	67%	100%	0%	67%
Draws	0%	50%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	33%

Velez SarsfieldWWD

Boca JuniorsWLW

League goals

Metric	Velez Sarsfield			Boca Juniors
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	2	4	3	1	4
GF avg	2.0	1.0	1.3	1.5	1.0	1.3
GA total	1	1	2	0	2	2
GA avg	1.0	0.5	0.7	0.0	2.0	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Velez Sarsfield		Boca Juniors
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	67%	100%	33%
1.5	33%	0%	33%	33%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Velez Sarsfield			Boca Juniors
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	2	0	2
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Velez Sarsfield	Boca Juniors
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1

Streaks

Metric	Velez Sarsfield	Boca Juniors
Wins	2	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	0	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-1	2-0	—
Biggest losses	—	—	—	2-1
Goals For	2	1	2	1
Goals Against	1	1	0	2

Model comparison

Metric	Velez Sarsfield	Boca Juniors
Form	54%	46%
Att	50%	50%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	75%	25%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	42%	58%
Total	50.0%	50.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Pinnacle

Draw2.95 @ Unibet

Away2.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.14 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet

No1.63 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Velez Sarsfield

Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina • Argentina • Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 01:15 • Jose Amalfitani

Expected goals

3.98

Velez Sarsfield xG League Avg: 1.01

Total

5.30

1.33

Boca Juniors xG League Avg: 0.75

1x2 probabilities

Home

61.9%

Draw

9.4%

Away

7.4%

Best score tips

Tip

3 - 1

6.9%

Tip

4 - 1

6.9%

Tip

5 - 1

5.5%

More chances

1.5+

71%

Chance

2.5+

50%

Chance

3.5+

36%

Chance

BTTS

80%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#VelezSarsfield #BocaJuniors #LigaProfesionalArgentina #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Velez Sarsfield = 3.98 (league 1.01), Boca Juniors = 1.33 (league 0.75)

		Boca Juniors
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Velez Sarsfield	0	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	2.0%	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	3.9%	5.2%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	5.2%	6.9%	4.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	5.2%	6.9%	4.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
	5	4.1%	5.5%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 7.4%

Metric	Velez Sarsfield	Boca Juniors
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1