Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 22:30 •
Jose Amalfitani
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.01)
0.28 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3% | 21.3% | 5.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Riestra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 14.0% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 70% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Velez SarsfieldWWDWDW
Deportivo RiestraLLDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away5.25 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.46 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Velez Sarsfield
vs
Deportivo Riestra
Expected goals
1.69
Velez Sarsfield xG
League Avg: 1.01
Total
1.97
0.28
Deportivo Riestra xG
League Avg: 0.75
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.3%
Draw
21.3%
Away
5.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
23.6%
Tip
2 - 0
19.9%
Tip
0 - 0
14.0%
More chances
1.5+
49%
Chance
2.5+
34%
Chance
3.5+
24%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Velez Sarsfield = 1.69 (league 1.01), Deportivo Riestra = 0.28 (league 0.75)
| Deportivo Riestra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 14.0% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 5.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1