Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 20:30 •
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.01)
0.93 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.4% | 25.5% | 22.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Gimnasia L.P. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Belgrano Cordoba | 0 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Belgrano Cordoba carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 70 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Belgrano Cordoba -19.5, Gimnasia L.P. -13.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Belgrano Cordoba
vs
Gimnasia L.P.
Elo gapBelgrano Cordoba +70
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3082.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3082.8
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1558.9 | 1523.9 |
| Form Elo | 1561.5 | 1527.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1526.1 | 1513.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1477.8 | 1469.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1609.8 | 1528.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.5 | -13.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Belgrano Cordoba last-5 Elo change: -19.5; Gimnasia L.P. last-5 Elo change: -13.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 20% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 50% | 38% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 38% | 36% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 17% | 25% | 21% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Belgrano CordobaWDDWWDWLWDLLWD
Gimnasia L.P.WLWLDWLDWLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 50% | 64% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 21% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 14% | 7% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Belgrano Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.75 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ 10Bet
No1.67 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Belgrano Cordoba
vs
Gimnasia L.P.
Expected goals
1.55
Belgrano Cordoba xG
League Avg: 1.01
Total
2.48
0.93
Gimnasia L.P. xG
League Avg: 0.75
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.4%
Draw
25.5%
Away
22.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
2 - 0
10.1%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Belgrano Cordoba = 1.55 (league 1.01), Gimnasia L.P. = 0.93 (league 0.75)
| Gimnasia L.P. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Belgrano Cordoba | 0 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 22.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1