Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 00:30 •
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Expected Goals
4.42 (league 1.36)
2.61 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% |
best score tips
4 - 2
4.8%
3 - 2
4.3%
5 - 2
4.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mirassol | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mirassol | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 56% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 58% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
95%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mirassol | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
MirassolWDD
SantosLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Mirassol | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mirassol | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mirassol | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mirassol | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mirassol | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mirassol | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ Betano
Away5.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Mirassol
vs
Santos
Expected goals
4.42
Mirassol xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
7.04
2.61
Santos xG
League Avg: 0.86
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.3%
Draw
11.8%
Away
15.0%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 2
4.8%
Tip
3 - 2
4.3%
Tip
5 - 2
4.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
76%
Chance
3.5+
54%
Chance
BTTS
95%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Mirassol = 4.42 (league 1.36), Santos = 2.61 (league 0.86)
| Santos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mirassol | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 15.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1