Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 00:00 •
Estádio São Januário
Expected Goals
3.07 (league 1.36)
1.95 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 16.3% | 21.7% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
2 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Botafogo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 73% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 60% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 20% | 38% |
| Draws | 20% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 80% | 63% |
Vasco DA GamaLDLLWDWWD
BotafogoWLLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 44% | 50% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 38% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.08 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Betano
Away4.10 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Vasco DA Gama
vs
Botafogo
Expected goals
3.07
Vasco DA Gama xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
5.02
1.95
Botafogo xG
League Avg: 0.86
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.6%
Draw
16.3%
Away
21.7%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
6.2%
Tip
2 - 1
6.1%
Tip
3 - 2
6.1%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
71%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
85%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Vasco DA Gama = 3.07 (league 1.36), Botafogo = 1.95 (league 0.86)
| Botafogo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 21.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1