Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:45 •
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.34)
1.45 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.2% | 19.0% | 21.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Drogheda United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derry City | 0 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derry City | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 63% | 50% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derry City | Drogheda United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 20% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 43% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
Derry CityWDLWLLD
Drogheda UnitedWWDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Derry City | Drogheda United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derry City | Drogheda United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 86% | 86% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 14% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derry City | Drogheda United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derry City | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derry City | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derry City | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.63 @ 188Bet
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away6.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Derry City
vs
Drogheda United
Expected goals
2.41
Derry City xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
3.86
1.45
Drogheda United xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
55.2%
Draw
19.0%
Away
21.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.9%
Tip
1 - 1
7.4%
Tip
3 - 1
7.1%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Derry City = 2.33 (league 1.39), Drogheda United = 1.48 (league 1.08)
| Drogheda United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derry City | 0 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 23.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1