USL Championship
— USA
Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 02:00 •
Laney College Football Stadium
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.17)
1.95 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.1% | 20.4% | 34.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Vegas Lights | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oakland Roots | 0 | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Oakland Roots carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 83 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Oakland Roots +14.4, Las Vegas Lights -8.1.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Oakland Roots
vs
Las Vegas Lights
Elo gapOakland Roots +83
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2909.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2909.5
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1478.7 | 1430.8 |
| Form Elo | 1485.8 | 1428 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1470.2 | 1442.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1482.4 | 1410.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1477.6 | 1394.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.4 | -8.1 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Oakland Roots last-5 Elo change: +14.4; Las Vegas Lights last-5 Elo change: -8.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 57% |
| Defense | 50% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 75% | 50% |
Oakland RootsWWDLDD
Las Vegas LightsDLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 49.2% | 51.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Oakland Roots
vs
Las Vegas Lights
Expected goals
2.13
Oakland Roots xG
League Avg: 1.17
Total
4.09
1.95
Las Vegas Lights xG
League Avg: 0.92
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.1%
Draw
20.4%
Away
34.9%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
7.5%
Tip
2 - 2
7.3%
Tip
1 - 1
7.0%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
84%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Oakland Roots = 2.13 (league 1.17), Las Vegas Lights = 1.95 (league 0.92)
| Las Vegas Lights | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oakland Roots | 0 | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 34.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1