Neftochimic Burgas vs Nesebar

Third League - Southeast — Bulgaria

Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 • efbet Arena

Match Finished

Neftochimic Burgas

1 - 1

Nesebar

Expected Goals

0.53 (league 1.85) 1.13 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
17.4%	32.1%	50.4%

best score tips

0 - 1

21.4%

0 - 0

18.9%

0 - 2

12.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Nesebar
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Neftochimic Burgas	0	18.9%	21.4%	12.1%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%
	1	10.1%	11.4%	6.5%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
	2	2.7%	3.1%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Nesebar
Played	5	5
Form	33%	87%
Attack	35%	65%
Defense	59%	94%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	11 \| 2.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	1 \| 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%

FT probability

2.5+

53%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	10	19	10	9	19
Wins	33%	60%	47%	100%	67%	84%
Draws	44%	0%	21%	0%	11%	5%
Loses	22%	40%	32%	0%	22%	11%

Neftochimic BurgasWDLLLLWWWWWWWDLDLWD

NesebarLWWWWWWWWWWWLWWDWWW

League goals

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	17	27	42	14	56
GF avg	1.1	1.7	1.4	4.2	1.6	2.9
GA total	7	17	24	2	8	10
GA avg	0.8	1.7	1.3	0.2	0.9	0.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Neftochimic Burgas		Nesebar
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	74%	79%	89%	47%
1.5	47%	32%	79%	5%
2.5	21%	16%	47%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	26%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	16%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	1	4	8	2	10
Failed to score	3	2	5	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Nesebar
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Nesebar
Wins	7	11
Draws	1	1
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	1-3	9-0	0-3
Biggest losses	0-2	3-0	—	2-1
Goals For	3	3	9	3
Goals Against	2	3	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Nesebar
Form	28%	72%
Att	35%	65%
Def	13%	88%
Poisson Distribution	33%	67%
H2h	9%	91%
Goals	14%	86%
Total	22.0%	78.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Neftochimic Burgas vs Nesebar

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Neftochimic Burgas

Nesebar

Third League - Southeast • Bulgaria • Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 • efbet Arena

Expected goals

0.53

Neftochimic Burgas xG League Avg: 1.85

Total

1.67

1.13

Nesebar xG League Avg: 1.13

1x2 probabilities

Home

17.4%

Draw

32.1%

Away

50.4%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 1

21.4%

Tip

0 - 0

18.9%

Tip

0 - 2

12.1%

More chances

1.5+

75%

Chance

2.5+

53%

Chance

3.5+

38%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#NeftochimicBurgas #Nesebar #ThirdLeagueSoutheast #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Neftochimic Burgas = 0.53 (league 1.85), Nesebar = 1.13 (league 1.13)

		Nesebar
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Neftochimic Burgas	0	18.9%	21.4%	12.1%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%
	1	10.1%	11.4%	6.5%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
	2	2.7%	3.1%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 50.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Nesebar
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0