Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 14:00 • Maritsa stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.27 (league 1.85) 0.71 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 5.0% 2.2%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.5%
3 - 0
8.9%
5 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rodopa Smolyan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritsa Plovdiv 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.5% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaritsa PlovdivRodopa Smolyan
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack63%42%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Rodopa Smolyan
HATHAT
Played131326131427
Wins85%62%73%46%21%33%
Draws15%15%15%15%14%15%
Loses0%23%12%38%64%52%
Maritsa PlovdivWWWDWWWWWWLWWWLWDDWWWDWWWL
Rodopa SmolyanWLLDLWWWLLLDWLWLWLDLLDLWWLL

League goals

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Rodopa Smolyan
HATHAT
GF total432669211435
GF avg3.32.02.71.61.01.3
GA total111324193453
GA avg0.81.00.91.52.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaritsa PlovdivRodopa Smolyan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%62%70%85%
1.569%27%41%52%
2.550%4%15%30%
3.538%0%4%15%
4.515%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaritsa PlovdivRodopa Smolyan
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410314
Failed to score112358

Penalties

MetricMaritsa PlovdivRodopa Smolyan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMaritsa PlovdivRodopa Smolyan
Wins63
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-54-00-2
Biggest losses—2-11-48-0
Goals For5542
Goals Against3248

Model comparison

MetricMaritsa PlovdivRodopa Smolyan
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h85%15%
Goals63%37%
Total67.7%32.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Maritsa Plovdiv
vs
Rodopa Smolyan
Third League - Southeast • Bulgaria • Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 14:00 • Maritsa stadium
Expected goals
4.27
Maritsa Plovdiv xG League Avg: 1.85
Total
4.98
0.71
Rodopa Smolyan xG League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
66.9%
Draw
5.0%
Away
2.2%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 0
9.5%
Tip
3 - 0
8.9%
Tip
5 - 0
8.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#MaritsaPlovdiv #RodopaSmolyan #ThirdLeagueSoutheast #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Maritsa Plovdiv = 4.27 (league 1.85), Rodopa Smolyan = 0.71 (league 1.13)

Rodopa Smolyan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritsa Plovdiv 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.5% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 2.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1