Maritsa Milevo vs Nesebar

Third League - Southeast — Bulgaria

Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA

Match Finished

Maritsa Milevo

1 - 0

Nesebar

Expected Goals

0.78 (league 1.85) 0.90 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
29.4%	34.2%	36.4%

best score tips

0 - 0

18.6%

0 - 1

16.8%

1 - 0

14.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Nesebar
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Maritsa Milevo	0	18.2%	16.9%	7.8%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	14.1%	13.1%	6.1%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	5.5%	5.1%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	1.4%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Maritsa Milevo	Nesebar
Played	5	5
Form	33%	87%
Attack	44%	100%
Defense	67%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	18 \| 3.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

66%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Maritsa Milevo			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	15	28	14	13	27
Wins	54%	33%	43%	93%	62%	78%
Draws	38%	20%	29%	7%	23%	15%
Loses	8%	47%	29%	0%	15%	7%

Maritsa MilevoWLWLWLLWWDLWDDDWWWWLDDWDLLWD

NesebarLWWWWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWDWDWWDWW

League goals

Metric	Maritsa Milevo			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	24	19	43	56	22	78
GF avg	1.8	1.3	1.5	4.0	1.7	2.9
GA total	8	17	25	4	10	14
GA avg	0.6	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.8	0.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Maritsa Milevo		Nesebar
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	75%	61%	85%	44%
1.5	39%	21%	74%	7%
2.5	21%	7%	52%	0%
3.5	14%	0%	30%	0%
4.5	4%	0%	19%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Maritsa Milevo			Nesebar
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	6	11	11	4	15
Failed to score	3	4	7	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	Maritsa Milevo	Nesebar
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Maritsa Milevo	Nesebar
Wins	4	11
Draws	3	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-5	9-0	0-4
Biggest losses	0-1	3-1	—	2-1
Goals For	4	5	9	4
Goals Against	1	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Maritsa Milevo	Nesebar
Form	28%	72%
Att	18%	82%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	45%	55%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	34.8%	65.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Maritsa Milevo vs Nesebar

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Maritsa Milevo

Nesebar

Third League - Southeast • Bulgaria • Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA

Expected goals

0.78

Maritsa Milevo xG League Avg: 1.85

Total

1.68

0.90

Nesebar xG League Avg: 1.13

1x2 probabilities

Home

29.4%

Draw

34.2%

Away

36.4%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

18.6%

Tip

0 - 1

16.8%

Tip

1 - 0

14.5%

More chances

1.5+

76%

Chance

2.5+

54%

Chance

3.5+

38%

Chance

BTTS

66%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#MaritsaMilevo #Nesebar #ThirdLeagueSoutheast #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Maritsa Milevo = 0.78 (league 1.86), Nesebar = 0.93 (league 1.10)

		Nesebar
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Maritsa Milevo	0	18.2%	16.9%	7.8%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	14.1%	13.1%	6.1%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	5.5%	5.1%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	1.4%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 37.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Maritsa Milevo	Nesebar
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0