Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.8% | 38.4% | 27.8% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Dynamos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Scotland Mabvuku | 0 | 25.0% | 16.1% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Home strong edge
Scotland Mabvuku carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Scotland Mabvuku -1.7, Dynamos +25.3.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1602.8 | 1538.3 |
| Form Elo | 1597.3 | 1559.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1520 | 1512.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1512.5 | 1413 |
| Defense Elo | 1657.2 | 1617.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.7 | +25.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Scotland Mabvuku last-5 Elo change: -1.7; Dynamos last-5 Elo change: +25.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 73% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 33% | 75% | 57% |
| Draws | 67% | 50% | 57% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
League goals
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 29% | 100% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 43% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Scotland Mabvuku | Dynamos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Scotland Mabvuku = 0.74 (league 0.87), Dynamos = 0.64 (league 0.70)
| Dynamos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Scotland Mabvuku | 0 | 25.0% | 16.1% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 27.8%
