Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 42.6% | 47.4% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Chicken Inn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bulawayo Chiefs | 0 | 35.7% | 28.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Home lean
Bulawayo Chiefs carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 39 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bulawayo Chiefs -6.3, Chicken Inn +7.2.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1507.1 | 1503 |
| Form Elo | 1511.4 | 1518.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1492.2 | 1491 |
| Attack Elo | 1456.2 | 1394.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1543.1 | 1648.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.3 | +7.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Bulawayo Chiefs last-5 Elo change: -6.3; Chicken Inn last-5 Elo change: +7.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
| Draws | 67% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
League goals
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 57% | 57% | 29% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 29% | 29% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bulawayo Chiefs | Chicken Inn |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 24.0% | 76.0% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Bulawayo Chiefs = 0.23 (league 0.87), Chicken Inn = 0.80 (league 0.70)
| Chicken Inn | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bulawayo Chiefs | 0 | 35.7% | 28.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.0% · Draw 42.6% · Away win 47.4%
