Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.93)
2.18 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 19.6% | 61.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Pors Grenland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sandviken | 0 | 4.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Sandviken -14.8, Pors Grenland -16.3.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Sandviken
vs
Pors Grenland
Elo gapPors Grenland +2
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo2940.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2940.2
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1451.5 | 1488.7 |
| Form Elo | 1415.5 | 1452.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.1 | 1479.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1498.9 | 1530.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1382.7 | 1446.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.8 | -16.3 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Sandviken last-5 Elo change: -14.8; Pors Grenland last-5 Elo change: -16.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 23% | 8% |
| Defense | 54% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
SandvikenLLW
Pors GrenlandLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sandviken | Pors Grenland | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sandviken | Pors Grenland |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 63.6% | 36.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sandviken = 1.03 (league 1.93), Pors Grenland = 2.18 (league 1.37)
| Pors Grenland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sandviken | 0 | 4.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 61.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
