Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 2.56) 1.00 (league 1.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 16.5% 12.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
9.3%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gamle Oslo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Carl Berner 0 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.4% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Union Carl Berner +14.9, Gamle Oslo +0.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Union Carl Berner Elo 1496.1 · +14.9
vs
Gamle Oslo Elo 1516.1 · +0.5
Elo gapUnion Carl Berner +15
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3012.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3012.2
Elo home share 52%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Union Carl Berner Gamle Oslo
Overall Elo1496.11516.1
Form Elo1515.91509.2
Home / Away Elo1480.51493.8
Attack Elo1475.11757.7
Defense Elo1504.51359
Last 5 Elo change+14.9+0.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Union Carl Berner last-5 Elo change: +14.9; Gamle Oslo last-5 Elo change: +0.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion Carl BernerGamle Oslo
Played33
Form67%44%
Attack17%43%
Defense87%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.310 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 110 | 3.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Carl Berner Gamle Oslo
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%100%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses100%0%33%0%100%33%
Union Carl BernerWLW
Gamle OsloWLD

League goals

Metric Union Carl Berner Gamle Oslo
HATHAT
GF total0449110
GF avg0.02.01.34.51.03.3
GA total2135510
GA avg2.00.51.02.55.03.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion Carl BernerGamle Oslo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.533%33%67%100%
2.533%0%67%67%
3.50%0%33%33%
4.50%0%33%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion Carl BernerGamle Oslo
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricUnion Carl BernerGamle Oslo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUnion Carl BernerGamle Oslo
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-36-2—
Biggest losses0-2——5-1
Goals For0361
Goals Against2135

Model comparison

MetricUnion Carl BernerGamle Oslo
Form60%40%
Att29%71%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.3%44.7%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Union Carl Berner
vs
Gamle Oslo
3. Division - Girone 1 • Norway • Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
2.54
Union Carl Berner xG League Avg: 2.56
Total
3.54
1.00
Gamle Oslo xG League Avg: 1.99
1x2 probabilities
Home
66.2%
Draw
16.5%
Away
12.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
Tip
2 - 0
9.3%
Tip
3 - 1
7.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
60%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#UnionCarlBerner #GamleOslo #3DivisionGirone1 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Union Carl Berner = 2.54 (league 2.55), Gamle Oslo = 1.00 (league 2.01)

Gamle Oslo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Carl Berner 0 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.4% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.4% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 12.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1