Expected Goals
0.99 (league 2.33)
3.45 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | 10.2% | 69.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
8.1%
1 - 3
8.0%
0 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Volda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spjelkavik | 0 | 1.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Spjelkavik -17.8, Volda +17.4.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Spjelkavik
vs
Volda
Elo gapVolda +10
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3168.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3168.3
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1561.7 | 1606.6 |
| Form Elo | 1515.6 | 1647.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1535.5 | 1535.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1698.1 | 1754.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1490.7 | 1527.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -17.8 | +17.4 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Spjelkavik last-5 Elo change: -17.8; Volda last-5 Elo change: +17.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 67% |
| Attack | 15% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 8 | 2.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 7 | 2.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
SpjelkavikDLL
VoldaWWL
League goals
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spjelkavik | Volda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-3 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spjelkavik | Volda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 61% | 39% |
| Total | 49.6% | 50.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Spjelkavik = 0.99 (league 2.33), Volda = 3.45 (league 1.74)
| Volda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spjelkavik | 0 | 1.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 69.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
