Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.05)
0.81 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 23.3% | 17.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| All Boys | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Telmo | 0 | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: San Telmo +3.8, All Boys -23.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
San Telmo
vs
All Boys
Elo gapSan Telmo +10
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2924
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2924
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1449.3 | 1474.7 |
| Form Elo | 1445.2 | 1466.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1464.7 | 1461.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1436.1 | 1362.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1462.7 | 1611.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.8 | -23.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. San Telmo last-5 Elo change: +3.8; All Boys last-5 Elo change: -23.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 45% | 0% |
| Defense | 55% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 33% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Loses | 60% | 25% | 44% | 0% | 75% | 33% |
San TelmoLDLDWLLWD
All BoysWLDWLDDLD
League goals
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Telmo | All Boys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 78% | 33% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 44% | 11% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Telmo | All Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 43.6% | 56.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.65 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Telmo = 1.74 (league 1.05), All Boys = 0.81 (league 0.67)
| All Boys | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Telmo | 0 | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 17.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
