Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:30 •
Republica de Italia Stadium
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.08)
0.69 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 31.8% | 22.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Argentino Quilmes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportivo Italiano | 0 | 16.5% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 78% | 89% |
| Defense | 22% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 60% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Sportivo ItalianoDWWWDLWWDL
Argentino QuilmesDLLWDDLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 70% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.17 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Dafabet
Away3.84 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.61 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sportivo Italiano
vs
Argentino Quilmes
Expected goals
1.11
Sportivo Italiano xG
League Avg: 1.08
Total
1.80
0.69
Argentino Quilmes xG
League Avg: 0.87
1x2 probabilities
Home
45.6%
Draw
31.8%
Away
22.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
18.4%
Tip
0 - 0
16.5%
Tip
1 - 1
12.6%
More chances
1.5+
58%
Chance
2.5+
41%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sportivo Italiano = 1.11 (league 1.08), Argentino Quilmes = 0.69 (league 0.87)
| Argentino Quilmes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportivo Italiano | 0 | 16.5% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 22.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1