Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.0% | 20.2% | 18.5% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Garage Express | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dynamik | 0 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Home strong edge
Dynamik carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 103 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dynamik +34.2, Garage Express -24.2.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1451.8 | 1383.8 |
| Form Elo | 1470.7 | 1370.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1457.7 | 1434 |
| Attack Elo | 1494.2 | 1390.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1381.1 | 1277.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +34.2 | -24.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dynamik last-5 Elo change: +34.2; Garage Express last-5 Elo change: -24.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 82% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 7% | 29% | 18% | 40% | 23% | 32% |
| Loses | 64% | 50% | 57% | 40% | 77% | 57% |
League goals
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 32 | 23 | 55 | 19 | 37 | 56 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dynamik | Garage Express | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 86% | 50% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 57% | 4% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 32% | 0% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 8-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dynamik | Garage Express |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 69.5% | 30.5% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Dynamik = 2.13 (league 1.44), Garage Express = 1.09 (league 1.27)
| Garage Express | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dynamik | 0 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 18.5%
